The MPC’s decision to keep rates on hold is in line with our expectation. Although the committee delivered large rate cuts since the onset of COVID-19, credit growth has been falling consistently. This shows that the ability of monetary policy in stimulating growth is constrained in the current situation. The MPC’s unanimous decision to pause is an acknowledgment of the same.
However, the RBI took a series of measures outside the purview of MPC to provide support to stressed sectors. Measures such as loan restructuring, increased in LTV for gold loans, additional liquidity facilities for NHB and NABARD are expected to have favourable impact.